本手册面向民航管理人员、航空公司规划师、机场和航空导航系统规划师以及其他积极参与实际预测工作的人员。它概述了目前用于空中交通预测的技术，并对这些技术的应用提供了实用指导。讨论了这些技术的优缺点，以及为有关预报选择特定技术的标准。这些技术的实用性和复杂性可能会有很大差异。本手册分为三部分:第一部分介绍了可用于空中交通预测目的的技术，分为三大类:定量、定性和决策分析。本手册第二部分介绍了用于航空规划的预测方法和程序，包括用于航空导航规划、航空公司规划和机场规划目的的预测。 本手册第三部分专门介绍选定缔约国和其他组织为预测民航需求而制定的案例研究和方法。

This manual is addressed to civil aviation administration personnel, airline planners, planners of airports and air navigation systems and others actively engaged in practical forecasting work. It provides a survey of techniques currently used for air traffic forecasting, and practical guidance on the application of these techniques. The advantages and disadvantages of the techniques as well as the criteria for selection of a particular technique for the forecast concerned are discussed. These techniques can vary considerably in their usefulness and sophistication.This manual is divided into three parts:Part I presents the techniques that are available for air traffic forecasting purposes, classified into three broad categories: quantitative, qualitative and decision analysis.Part II of this manual presents methods and procedures for forecasting for aviation planning, including forecasting for air navigation planning, airline planning and airport planning purposes.Part III of this manual is devoted to case studies and methodologies developed by selected Contracting States and other organizations to develop forecasts for the requirements of civil aviation.