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Forecasting Water Demands and Conservation Savings and Cost-Effectiveness for San Francisco's Wholesale Customers 预测旧金山批发客户的用水需求、节约用水和成本效益
发布日期: 2005-06-17
本文记录了一项综合评估的方法和结果 区域保护潜力在旧金山公众的指导下进行 公用事业委员会(SFPUC)负责其批发客户服务区。这项研究非常成功 在28个SFPUC的参与、反馈和同意下进行 来自湾区供水和保护的客户和协调协助 机构(BAWSCA)。 SFPUC目前正在实施一项资本改善计划(CIP),以改善 SFPUC区域供水系统的可靠性,并降低其故障风险。理解力 未来区域水需求,包括通过水资源管理的需求潜力 保护计划是规划系统可靠性的一个重要方面 改进。这项研究是为SFPUC的长期区域规划目的而进行的, 通过工作评估批发客户服务区的用水需求管理 与28个批发客户和BAWSCA合作,确定合理的保护范围 每个批发客户服务区的潜力。 SFPUC规划研究涉及两个阶段的工作:水需求预测和 未来节水潜力评估。评估是一系列进行的 使用终端用水需求模型,需求侧管理将以最低成本规划 Maddaus Water Management开发的决策支持系统(DSS)模型。决策支持系统 模型分别应用于每个批发客户服务区,并根据 服务区条件:到2030年,第一个项目的最终用水总需求, 然后评估这些服务区的保护潜力。在保护方面投入更多资金,而不是购买额外资源的相对成本效益 与每位客户一起审查SFPUC的水,以及效益成本结果 分析个别措施和方案。 根据对个人客户DSS模型结果的汇编,发现 目前的管道和设备规范将减少SFPUC批发客户服务 2030年地区总需水量(估计为324 mgd)减少约7%。 8%。此外,决策支持系统 模拟表明,额外的节水措施可以减少总水量 需要额外的2-6%,这取决于政府实施的保护水平 同意范围内的批发客户。包括4个参考文献、表格和图表。
This paper documents the methodology and results of a comprehensive evaluation of regional conservation potential conducted under the direction of the San Francisco Public Utilities Commission (SFPUC) for its wholesale customer service area. The study was conducted with participation, feedback, and concurrence from the 28 SFPUC wholesale customers and coordination assistance from the Bay Area Water Supply and Conservation Agency (BAWSCA). The SFPUC is currently implementing a capital improvement program (CIP) to improve the reliability of the SFPUC regional water system and reduce its risk of failure. Understanding the future regional water demand, including demand management potential through water conservation programs, is an important aspect in planning for system reliability improvements. This study, undertaken for SFPUC long-term regional planning purposes, evaluated water demand management for the wholesale customer service area by working with the 28 wholesale customers and BAWSCA to define a reasonable range of conservation potential for each individual wholesale customer service area. The SFPUC planning study involved two phases of work: water demand forecasting and evaluation of future water conservation potential. The evaluations were conducted in series using an end-use water demand model, the Demand Side Management Least-Cost Planning Decision Support System (DSS) model developed by Maddaus Water Management. The DSS model was applied to each wholesale customer service area individually, and calibrated to the service area conditions to first project total water demand by end use through the year 2030, and then evaluate conservation potential for those same service areas. The relative cost-effectiveness of investing more money in conservation as opposed to purchasing additional water from the SFPUC was reviewed with each customer, along with the results of a benefit-cost analysis of the individual measures and programs. Based on compiling the results from the individual customer DSS models, it was found that the current plumbing and appliance codes would reduce SFPUC wholesale customer service area 2030 total water demand (estimated at 324 mgd) by about 7.8 percent. Further, the DSS modeling showed that additional water conservation measures could reduce total water demands an additional 2-6 percent, depending upon the level of conservation implemented by the wholesale customers within the concurrence range. Includes 4 references, tables, figures.
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发布单位或类别: 美国-美国给水工程协会
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